Ed Dunham
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| (Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)) |
| Fri Oct 15 2010 12:59 AM |
Re: GFS for mid week
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While the GFS and NOGAPS have been developing a system, I think that its way too early for any track or intensity specifics based on a couple of model runs. The 15/00Z run of the GFS does form a weaker system from an area of lower pressure north of Panama early next week, but moves it inland and dissipates it over Nicaragua/Honduras by mid week. Until (and if) an actual system forms, the global models will be all over the place on track and intensity from run to run - and essentially useless from a forecasting standpoint.
ED