Tomas currently moving slowly westward in the eastern Caribbean Sea as a Cat II Hurricane, however, southwesterly shear should curtail the current intensification and some slow weakening is possible over the next couple of days. Beyond that timeframe the windshear is expected to abate somewhat which should allow Tomas to again intensify. Tomas likely to turn more northerly mid-week with probable impact on Haiti late Thursday and the Turks & Caicos on Friday. Perhaps a threat to Bermuda next weekend as a much weaker system. Interesting that the GFS keeps Tomas (or its extratropical cutoff low) around well into November.
ED