Thanks. Incredible discussion here.

The whole system is leaning towards the NE, if this was a developed hurricane I'd take that as a sign of things to come.

Early look of banding and blooming.

My question on the logic of the front fizzling and high pressure filling in to the north vs the front going more stationary and how would high pressure build in? Yes, from the East but I don't see that happening as fast.

The front is strong, not saying the front will fizzle but the front may get further south and pull it further north so that a sharp turn to the West seems not within parameters of what we would expect.

Also worth noting, most NWS discussion shows it going NE over Florida, even a few in Texas but imagine that could change ... I just find that sort of telling in ways.

Great discussion Ciel, have to read it over and over... that's one of the reasons I am here and love it.

Discussion based on hard facts not wishcasting.