Looks to me as if Debby is going to make us wait a bit. Tops are warming near Yucatan and still no obvious evidence of any surface circulation at that point. Plus, had just taken a look at surface obs from 2 different stations on NE Yucatan and saw no evidence of further pressure falls during the prior 12 hours. With the convection waning, it would be highly unlikely that any deepening will occur; at least until an new convective bursting occurs. Meanwhile, there still remains moderate upper level shear over the general area to the north and northwest of the Yucatan Channel. This would seem to be the inhibiting factor against the larger low level circulation evident on Vis. Sat. from becomming dominant at the moment.

So here we have it for the moment; a potential mid level center that is having difficulty working its way down to the surface over or just E. of Yucatan...., and a large more established low level center in the S. Central Gulf that is being hindered by the increased amount of shear and inhibiting dryer air this morning. Furthermore neither feature is going to get picked up by any mid level steering mechanism until some deepening occurs which basically means a fairly stagnant situation and certainly no rapid development. Models cannot be counted on at this time mostly because there is no clear consensus of where a center is or will be. It will be interesting to see during the diurnal max, where any new convection will start "popping" and then of course if it can be maintained.