danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Sun Jun 24 2012 08:05 AM
Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC?

Way to early to call. Indeed Debby is probably a bit stronger than she was last night. I haven't checked the buoy obs yet. Radar and Satellite obs indicate the convection has wrapped around from the NW Quad to the SW Quad in the last 2 hours. The is a nice? thunderstorm cluster at the western edge of what appears to be a CDO. It's has a very thin appearance at first light. New Orleans radar on long range confirms the convection wrapping around Debby. Even though the altitude of the radar at long range is very high the wrap is still visible on the loop.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=LIX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=no

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=LIX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes



Wind shear is relaxing on the western side of Debby. The following images are 7 hours apart. In the bottom image notice how much more white is visible on the western half of the storm especially near the MS/ AL line.
It appears that early signs of outflow are present. The small wispy horsetail looking white clouds. Cirrus fingers.







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