danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Sun Jun 24 2012 08:35 PM
Re: Debby Forecast Lounge

I hate to throw a snag in the forecast. But the new 00Z GFDL and BAM Suite take the storm back west toward MS/ LA.

Granted the SHIP and DSHIP are at Tropical Depression wind speeds. It would still take Debby 120 hours or 5 days to reach those forecast points.

I'm still looking at the new guidance. Will update as necessary.

Links are time sensitive and display the latest Guidance
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=CHGHUR&max=61

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=CHGQLM&max=61

Looking at the 18Z GFDL and HWRF they are now considered old.

GFDL makes an initial landfall at the Mouth of the Mississippi River and then bounces over to a second landfall near Gulfport,MS at 992mb.

HWRF makes a single landfall near Orange Beach,AL or the eastern side of Mobile Bay.

GFDL/GHM and HWRF-use nested area



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center