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I hate to throw a snag in the forecast. But the new 00Z GFDL and BAM Suite take the storm back west toward MS/ LA. Granted the SHIP and DSHIP are at Tropical Depression wind speeds. It would still take Debby 120 hours or 5 days to reach those forecast points. I'm still looking at the new guidance. Will update as necessary. Links are time sensitive and display the latest Guidance http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=CHGHUR&max=61 http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=CHGQLM&max=61 Looking at the 18Z GFDL and HWRF they are now considered old. GFDL makes an initial landfall at the Mouth of the Mississippi River and then bounces over to a second landfall near Gulfport,MS at 992mb. HWRF makes a single landfall near Orange Beach,AL or the eastern side of Mobile Bay. GFDL/GHM and HWRF-use nested area |