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Ernesto is on track for the Yucatan, chances are dropping it will get much further north than that. The chances for a move north are a good deal less, but not impossible (see the GFDL/HRWF) However the odds still lean toward Mexico and/or Central America landfalls mostly in the odds for the long run, and those in the Yucatan of Mexico, Honduras, and Belize will want to watch Ernesto very closely. |