Daniel, I know the GFDL and HWRF are two of the best models in this business so are you discarding all of the southerly models at this time, and if so, what is your reasoning (not a challenge, I just like to know the reasons)? When should we see the official cone moving toward those models. At this point, they look like outliers versus the BAM ensemble, UKMet and LBAR. That swing up east would bring much more weather into my neighborhood around Tampa which is already saturated from Debby, a tropical wave and possibly another one this weekend. Thanks for your response!