Fri Aug 17 2012 02:38 AM
Hurricane Isaac Forecast Lounge

A new Invest has just been tagged for the large tropical wave in the extreme eastern Atlantic.

Invest 94L, large, broad and elongated, is presently located roughly in the vicinity of 11N 20W at 2:30 AM EDT Aug 17. Pressure is estimated to be 1010mb, with maximum sustained winds of about 25 MPH. Movement is currently to the west at 15-20 MPH.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

Model support on Invest 94L so far is pretty strong, with several of the better models whipping up a strong tropical cyclone out of it in the central Atlantic by the middle of next week. As early model runs often tend to be the least reliable, it remains to be seen if they verify, but right now there does not appear to be much working against 94L over the next 4-7 days.

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