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94L looking a little better organized from a circulation stand point and banding features becoming more evident. However deep convection is lacking based on satellite and water vapor shows plenty of dry air to the north and west of 94l and is helping to keep it in check. However Dvorak numbers are 1.5 from both TAFB and SAB which is up from this mornings numbers 1.0. Would not be surprised to see this as depression later tonight or early tomorrow morning. A steady Westerly movement into the northwest Caribbean looks good for now and beyond that plenty to discuss with ridge hold strong enough to north and keep it moving West/WNW or will there be a turn northwest. I like the GFS up to this point. |