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Big change in the models today from yesterday. Long term GFS has 94L going over Jamaica and GFDL has it heading into the Bahamas. Neither one seems to develop it very much though. Hoping it doesn't develop too much and cause havoc in the Caribbean.
After watching the many different model histories over the years, I am convinced that the people at GFDL have it in for Florida for some reason. If you have tracked the models for any significant storm over the past 10-15 years, you will have to agree that GFDL consistently, and inexplicably, tracks every time towards Florida. I say inexplicably, because frequently, if not the vast majority of the time, GFDL's track model is noticeably different from most, if not all, of the other model forecast tracks. I have since wondered what the people in Princeton have against us down here in Florida.
Edited to include referenced quote for context.
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