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The wave presently located in the far eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde islands as of 08/20 6PM EDT, has been showing some steady improvement throughout the day today, and now has around a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next 48 hours per NHC, which could be conservative, so we will start a Lounge on this system. As of 6:00 PM EDT Aug. 20, 96L was centered roughly near 10.5N 26W (give or take a good bit, as this system still a bit sloppy and organizing). Minimum pressure is around 1010mb, or less, and maximum sustained winds are about 25-30 MPH. This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here. (Title changed to reflect system upgrade.) |