LoisCane
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Mon Aug 20 2012 07:25 PM
Re: Invest 94L Forecast Lounge

Galveston does not appreciate your sense of humor. Yeah Isaac could be some storm once it develops. Should hit warmer water soon.

The dust is really doing a job on it...

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/sal/splitE/movies/splitE5.html

If it stays low intensity wise... I don't see the northerly tracks really working out.

Another issue I have is that the GFS only really intensifies the storm as it is hitting Cuba and traversing Cuba, which doesn't seem logical. I don't believe Cuba would hurt a storm that much as I blogged earlier today...but what I don't think is logical is that it intensifies over land.

A missing piece of the puzzle.

I do think it's pretty clear fronts are moving down and will begin tugging storms away from the Yucatan or bust scenario of the previous storms.