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The new GFS has slipped south of Hispanolia and the European still wants to take it to the central GOM. My biggest concern is that if it misses Haiti there is a huge amount of oceanic heat content in its path and the loop current is especially warm this year. I also have a great concern in there will be a lot of nonresidents in the Tampa Bay region which is one of the most dangerous areas to be in should a strong hurricane come calling. This to me looks like a cone anywhere from New Orleans to Cape Hatteras...but Haiti will be key...if it misses...we are looking at a major hurricane IMO |