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0Z GFS run is going now, it's in the Florida straits around 93 hours away (sunday) near the Keys on Monday... then keeps just barely offshore the west coast of Florida and starts to slow down (bad for storm surge) Starts drifting westward away from Ft. Myers area.. Starts deepening west of Tampa (still drifting westward), then more northward (toward panhandle) Landfall near Panama City Beach Wednesday. Trend is a bit different from the prior run, but still has Florida (keys, west coast, and Panhandle in the target. Still models are not to be trusted with weak systems like this, so it will likely change again. |