danielw
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| (Moderator) |
| Thu Aug 23 2012 09:08 PM |
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Re: Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Lounge
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Ships model is showing a possible RI event. 36% chance.
Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold= 36% is 2.8 times the sample mean(12.8%)
Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold= 17% is 2.0 times the sample mean( 8.4%)
I've never paid much attention to the parameter below. If those numbers are Helicity in m2/s2, that's some major spinning going on. Which is what we have been seeing on the sats.
850 MB ENV VOR 83 77 87 89 95 80 88 82 100 90 74 50 45
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/wi...zoom=&time=