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Recon just found pressure 995mb in the center just south of the south central tip of the DR. I forsee changes to the track at 5pm as NHC track lies on the western edge of the guidance envelope. I would suspect about and 30-50 mile shift right to split the extremes with Euro on far left and GFS more on the right. My thinking all along of a trip through the southern keys and up the west coast offshore with landfall in the big bend. The trough is looking as through it will be just deep enough to tug Issac more to the NNW/N after getting past the keys. |