MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Mon Aug 27 2012 08:57 AM
Re: Isaac Forecast Lounge

This system and Katrina share very little in common other than position in the Gulf at this time out. The oceanic heat content in 2005 in the Gulf was quite a bit higher than today, and Katrina did not have the decoupled center issue as it crossed south Florida as a category 1 storm.

This system is also fighting some hostile conditions to the south that will prevent it from rapidly strengthening. It has the tilted south/north core. Surge potential will be a lot less because of the windspeed (although surge most assuredly will still be an issue).

In short, Katrina is a bad comparison, Isaac is nowhere even close to that even at this point.




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