Joeyfl
(Weather Guru)
Thu Aug 30 2012 03:01 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge

Buoy 41041 is now just couple hours away from the center passing overhead. Currently a rapidly falling pressure is being seen (~1008mb) winds out of the NNW . Leslie looks to be getting more and more organized with deep convection firing near the center and impressive banding and outflow features. Would not be surprised to see Leslie a major hurricane at some point in near future with conducive environment ahead of her. Track reasoning is for it to be a fish storm, however thats not a guarantee quite yet as it is plowing along to the west. Models believe it will feel a weakness to the north left behind from Kirk and the trough picking Kirk up however it could potentially miss this pick-up and get caught in an area of weak steering before ridge builds back in. Euro is furthest west with possible impact on Bermuda and New England? We will have to see how it plays out as the post above makes a good point in Kirk being a very small cane and ridge may try to nose back in before Leslie makes a sharp enough turn.


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