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90L to me looks better than it did yesterday even though it is still feeling some slight shear from the north northeast. of where a possible LLC is forming or is located (northeast of the convection). Still have not heard if recon is going out or is cancelled. No changes really to overall thinking with 90L hanging out in central Gulf for next 48hrs before making a bee line across FL late this weekend. I still say 50/50 right now with respect to it becoming tropical storm/depression in any event it looks to mainly enhance rainfall across FL as front drops into central FL possibly stalling out which seems reasonable as it is still early for cool frontal passage here. But if 90L is able to get its act together and ride front across FL it would help to push whatever is left of the front through the state. If this forms and thats a big IF I still see maybe moderate TS at best. Time will tell... |