An elongated area of low pressure has developed in association with a tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles, and this system is now being tracked as Invest 92L.

Near to medium term, Invest 92L is not expected to be in a very favorable environment for development, with several pockets of shear and dry air ruling the air in the western Atlantic, but conditions may become somewhat favorable over time, and there is some tepid model support for at best slow, uneven organization.

Movement is presently to the west-northwest at about 10-15 MPH, and 92L is expected to bring the Caribbees some blustery showers late this weekend into early next week.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.