A weak area of low pressure has been south of Brownsville for a few days and has been drawn northward to merge with old frontal boundaries. This feature is now being tracked as Invest 93L.

As of 3:45PM EDT Sep. 16, Invest 93L was centered near 26N 96W, and movement is forecast to be generally to the northeast at about 10-15 MPH.

Invest 93L is in a marginally favorable environment for some organization, and NHC gives it a 20% chance of becoming a subtropical or tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.