Thu Oct 11 2012 05:32 PM
Re: TD #16 Forecast Lounge

Invest 97L has become Tropical Depression #16. Sixteen is presently centered near 25.5N 72.5W, and has been drifting ever so slowly to the south with an expected turn more to the southwest; however, models are somewhat split, with several in the group taking TD 16 off to the northeast, and others suggesting variations of a loop.

Shear over TD 16 is not terribly prohibitive for some further strengthening in the near term, but is forecast to deal a death blow to the cyclone within 48 hours. Still, it is worth noting that 97L/16 has been rather tenacious.

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