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Trying to remember the last time (if ever) I have read a Forecast Discussion that called for a tropical cyclone to be "Subtropical" at Day 5 (instead of the usual "Post-Tropical," or "Extratropical," or "Dissipated"). Looks like NHC is giving some heavy consideration to model runs that do indeed show a strong possibility of a 'Perfect Storm.' BY 120 HOURS...SANDY IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH THAT COULD INDUCE TRANSITION INTO A SIGNIFICANT SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY THROUGH 48 HOURS...AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS A BLEND OF THE ICON...IV15...IVCN INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODELS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 12.7N 78.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 13.6N 78.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 14.8N 77.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 24/1200Z 16.6N 77.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 25/0000Z 18.5N 77.1W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND OVER JAMAICA 72H 26/0000Z 22.7N 75.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER 96H 27/0000Z 25.7N 75.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 28/0000Z 28.2N 73.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...SUBTROPICAL |