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12Z early track models have a southward shift to the southern Deleware Bay. This includes nearly total convergence from the AVNI, GFDI, and HWFI, plus variants and composites. This is the first time I've seen these models converge for landfall. Inland track is still slightly divergent, from following the PA/MD line to a northern Chesapeake Bay crossing. Several models are showing a brief retrograde before heading north. |