Still a bit too early to tell exactly what will happen, the NHC's track is the best compromise though, even though it may be a bit too far south/west. How strong or weak it is seems up for grabs. By the time it gets in the Bahamas, the steering currents may collapse so there may be a bit of a loop off the coast, which will keep it in the picture for Florida (most likely weak, but hard to say this far out) late this weekend.

Land interaction when it approaches Hispaniola and Cuba is another wildcard.

The rapid movement of the storm is keeping development in check right now, and it likely won't slow down until it passes south of Puerto Rico. It'll be a rough day on the Leeward/Windward islands, but shouldn't be too bad.

This may be the start of several of these types of waves coming across this season.