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12Z GFS has landfall near Cape Canaveral +153 hours out (Sunday late afternoon), then a second landfall in Louisana a few days later. This will likely change, but if that persists, expect a lot more activity here. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/ A few more runs (and the euro run) will be helpful to see if this persists, there may be a weakness in the ridge that allows the storm to curve away from Florida, so it appears the global "model wars" may be on for this system. |