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GFDL is also showing a hook back toward Florida, similar to the GFS. GFS continues the storm across FL into the Gulf, but substantially weakened. However, anything, even a remnant, in the Gulf bears close watching. Looking at the wide area tropical Atlantic IR, there are several systems showing signs of turning in addition to Chantal: (1) a cluster of thunderstorms near the Bahamas and (2) a wave near the eastern edge of the frame. Models are not developing either of these. GFS is also showing a strong wave coming out of the eastern Atlantic in the next few days - looks like something to keep an eye on. |