The models with Dorian this afternoon suggest more chance of a recurve before the US than earlier, and with how far north this system is already I'd probably lean toward that ultimately at this point.

It'll be close, and may go back and forth, but climatology and the currently globals *slightly* lean toward a recurve before getting to the US coast, although the NE islands and Bahamas are still to close to call.

The other storm, 99L, will be something for Bermuda to watch, but it will likely stay well east of the island.