Ok Karen and the models are the tale of the split system all over again, I don't believe either of the main Euro/GFS models are wrong. GFS wants to take the mid level energy eastward as it approaches the coast, while Euro wants to take the low level part north.

So split system, if it winds up like Debby, the center will start to reform under the convection and the easterly run may be more likely, if the center sticks around it will just get sheared apart and be weak, still with most of the convection to the east. Watch today for any signs of center reformation, if it does reform to the east it has a much better shot at strengthening. This won't be easy to pinpoint.