Tue Jun 27 2017 05:44 AM
Re: General 2017 Model Watching

There's wave coming off Africa that has a 20% chance for development over the next 5 days that the Hurricane Center is mentioning in hte outlook. Although it could develop, odds are it won't. and if it does, it wouldn't last across the Atlantic. We'll keep an eye on it though.

GFS loses it by Friday (and never really develops it), Euro never really develops it, GFS Para never develops it, CMC does not develop it. The 12Z runs before this showed a bit more development, which is likely what the NHC outlook was based off of.

Long range, next week seems slightly more likely for development of something else in the Eastern or Central Atlantic, but nothing very firm right now.

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