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Overnight model runs. (See "Forecast Models" on the left menu for more) 6Z GFS is still running right now, but misses the Caribbean islands to the north and then bends back west. Further north than earlier runs. Closer to Bermuda. Starts bending it out to sea around 68.3 (west of Bermuda) then hooks it out to sea. 0Z Euro misses Caribbean islands to the north, bends back west toward July 12th (where the public run ends) 6z Parallel GFS is MUCH weaker than the others, moves it much closer to the Caribbean islands, but the wave falls apart near there and remnants move north of the Caribbean. 0zCMC is slower than earlier runs, ends its run just northeast of the Bahamas on July 13th (Also misses Caribbean islands well to the north) None of the models currently show landfall. |