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and the 1zz gfs keeps it weaker and moves west all the way through the Caribbean into the Yucatan. (huge difference from North Carolina last run) The trend is weaker now,and with other models being weak as well, that's the more likely scenario at this point, but still nearly 2 weeks our. Another tool to look at is the ensembl member surface pressure map http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/...os=0&ypos=0 which shows how large the spread is with the GFS members. |