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A trough of low pressure in the tropical Central Atlantic is now being tracked as Invest 95L. While recent model support has been lukewarm at best, conditions for development are actually starting to appear to be somewhat better than those runs would suggest, and as of the 2AM AST Sat July 16, 2017 TWO, NHC has given this Invest a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within 5 days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if necessary. As of 5 PM AST on July 17, NHC advisories will begin on Tropical Storm Don, located east of the Windward Islands, and the title has been changed accordingly. - Ciel |