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This topic is to discuss frontal areas, or areas just offshore of the US or other land areas that sometimes form into storms, many times with little or no model support initially. It's important to watch because systems here can form with little to no warning, and its rare for fronts to make it into the Gulf this time of year (when it is ripe for such things to occur) These storms are given the nickname of "Home Brew" meaning the storm develops close to the coastline off a frontal or other system that moves offshore from land and not the typical tropical wave. Emily was such a storm on Sunday, and another area in the Gulf may be attempting to get together in the Central Gulf now. This area has a fair bit of shear and no mentions on the models currently, but is being fairly persistent. Nothing expected from it, but it should be monitored just in case. Dry air is another issue that would prevent development. |