(Weather Guru)
Mon Aug 14 2017 10:23 PM
Re: General 2017 Model Watching

Strong model support for the wave behind 91L over the African continent. NHC already giving this 5-day chances for development at 20%, pretty impressive for a wave still about 2 days from leaving the coast.

12Z Euro is furthest north, moving it well north of the Leewards and then approaching Bermuda as a hurricane at the end of its run on 8/24.

18Z GFS moves it across the Atlantic into the Lesser Antilles near Guadeloupe on 8/22, strengthening quickly over the NE Carib until it runs into Hispaniola on 8/24, moves pretty much over the length of Cuba but emerges over water late 8/25 then moves north over Florida on 8/26 and 8/27.

With 91L, 92L, future 93L and more waves behind over Africa, we should have a lot to track over the next couple weeks.

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