Since we are on a forecast lounge and speculation is expected, I see 92L this way based on current sat. representations (see the WV loop). It is highly possible that the current low level circulation that exists in 92L could be inhibited by a very vigorous ULL that seems to be digging down into the circulation around the low.. it is also possible that 92L could slide westward beneath this upper low. In short, the future of this system should be clearer in the next day or so and seems to be dependent on its interaction with that ULL. Should it survive that then a more real threat will exist. I think this is the factor that has kept the two more "reliable" models cautious on this system...