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Another episode of my commentary on this ill-defined system. NRL-Monterey has listed the focal point of the system to be 25.8 N -81.6W and a satellite review confirms that location is just northwest of Florida Bay and that there is little visible evidence of a point of low pressure being there. There is visible evidence of some circulation at the northern extreme of the wave just north of the coordinates I posted yesterday in the Atlantic which is gathering some convection. The short story here is that the system is ill defined indeed. But it is still worrisome. If in fact there is some point of lower pressure where NRL has located it that is cause for some concern as that is over the GOM and as Harvey continues to develop and move away, the shear over that area will decrease considerably and convection east of that point has increased markedly since yesterday. so we must still be vigilant regarding this system. |