MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Wed Aug 23 2017 09:57 PM
Re: HARVEY Lounge

18Z GFS so far, showing landfall as a cat 2 hurricane near Corpus Christi on Saturday morning, then moves inland south of San Antonio. (up to 102 hours out so far) This is a shift southwest a bit of earlier GFS runs.

After this it slowly moves just south of the TX/MX border to the east and weakens, shifting the massive rain field a bit south, by Tuesday when the last run had it back over water, it still is over land in the 18z run.
Toward Wednesday it's inland nearing the coast again, near the Tx/MX border. 180 hours out (next Thursday) it re-emerges into the Gulf, but it never really gets back together and another landfall occurs in Western Louisiana a week from Friday. Rainfall totals are still extremely high with this scenario as well.








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