Thu Aug 24 2017 03:35 AM
Re: HARVEY Lounge

0Z GFS starting to come in, this one with a lot of recon data collected today.

Immediacy notice this change from earlier runs, it's a 985mb Hurricane by tomorrow night. Cat 2 by Friday morning (975MB) shifting a bit west then.

Landfall early Saturday morning as a cat 3 hurricane near Corpus Christi, possibly wobbling into Kennedy county. Then moving more northwest over Corpus Christi then inland, stalls out south of San Antonio until monday, (not as far west as the 18z run) Early Monday it starts moving back east (slowly).

Tuesday morning it's back in the Gulf as a Tropical Storm, and slowly creeping northeast offshore goes back inland on Wednesday morning near port O'Connor. stays inland then moves into Louisiana Thursday. Lots of rain.

0z Canadian, stronger and further north than the prior run. landfall near S. Padre Island as a Cat 2 hurricane on Saturday morning.

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