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Another strong wave leaving the African coast (I think this is the same one I referred to in my post above) has strong model support to develop from the globals. 12z CMC and 18z GFS track it west to west northwest then develop a break in the ridge in about a week near 50W causing the system to move NW and N into that break. 12z Euro on the other hand builds the ridge west and keeps the system moving west to just north of the Leeward Islands at the end of its run in 10 days. NHC gives this a 40% chance of development in 5 days. Looks like another system that has potential to be a long track Cabo Verde storm but we'll see. |