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Midday models (Main two): 12Z Gfs: Turks Caicos Friday morning Cat 4/5 Eyewall scrapes Miami up to West Palm Beach Sunday, Cat 5 Cat 4/5 landfall near Savannah, GA Monday afternoon Slightly east of prior run, and keeps barely offshore the east coast of Florida, but eyewall within major met areas. 12Z Euro (Running now): Midday tomorrow, Cat 5 landfall over St. Martin. Clears PR to the north, still some affects though. Stays north of DR on Thursday. Friday Midday over Inagua Island, Cat 4/5 (Of note Bay of Campeche system develops) Saturday Midday, over Central Cuba Sunday Midday, exiting into Florida Straits near Havana Monday, Landfall between Naples and Ft. Myers cat 4/5 then straight north up the state, into Georgia by Tuesday. CMC: Hits PR, Plows through Cuba, then turns north into the Gulf, landfall near Panama City Cat 2. (West outlier) Already too far south. HMON: Midday Sunday landfall at West Palm Beach Cat 5 (briefly, then back offshore) HWRF: Landfall northern Cuba coast Saturday Morning, Cat 5 Back over Water north of Cuba Sunday Morning, Cat 3 (West of Key west) |