| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Thu Sep 07 2017 06:50 AM |
|
Re: E Atlantic Tropical Wave
|
Quote:
REALLY not liking the 00Z Euro today, which shows Jose looping around and bringing it back through the Bahamas and toward Florida.
Latest run of ECMWF shows a plausible scenario. In summary, it has Jose drawn up behind much larger Irma heading NW out from the southern Bahamas by late Monday Sep 11, then quickly looped back around by the squeeze play between Irma to Jose's NW - a diving offshore, large, non-tropical low out of Newfoundland - to be then slingshotted back W by the rebuilding Bermuda High, heading right for S Florida as a major at the end of this run (0Z Sep 17).
Believable - and especially noteworthy coming from a model like the Euro. Worth keeping watch for consistency in future runs and if other models start to buy in.