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Euro and GFS shifted slightly west overnight, actually worse track as it brings more of naples and Tampa into the picture. May nick Cuba like the Euro and Ukmet say, but the conditions in the straits will be ideal for strengthening. It'll be chaotic for sure. If it shifts further west, Surge thread goes way way up for the west coast. The GFS has another hurricane moving in a simialr path to Irma around Sep 23rd (not Jose), although that far out in time is beyond unreliable, it's just an interesting footnote. |