ftlaudbob
(Storm Chaser)
Sat Sep 09 2017 12:28 AM
Re: HUR IRMA Lounge

Quote:

Models are getting less important, but the turn and when it happens is still vital for impact

0Z GFS, turns midday tomorrow, then landfall late Sunday morning just west of Marathon, Cat 5.
Mainland landfall in the late afternoon, cat 5, near Everglades City passes over winter haven, cat 3/4, heads north near Interlachen Cat 3/2. moves nw cat 2 west of Jacksonville, weakening into cat 1 into Georgia up toward Athens, Ga.

This is a shift east for the GFS.





I was thinking the models would switch a little east.My money is splitting the state right in the middle of South Florida.



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