0z Euro shows Irma going fairly well inland into Cuba (more than it actually is, apparently,, watching it closely though) Does not turn it significantly to the north until around midnight. Landfall over Key West mid morning tomorrow Cat 4, Landfall near Port Charlotte/Venice tomorrow night, Cat 4. Over Tampa, Cat 3, then just inland along the west coast passing into Georgia east of Tallahassee. A shift west, but waiting for confirmation of the short term path.

6Z GFS moves Irma a bit more into Cuba, then start the turn north late tonight, Cat 4 landfall west of Marathon Key around noon tomorrow (slower), landfall just east of Naples Cat 4, Near Wauchula Monday morning cat 3 moving toward Gainesville, and into Georgia by Monday evening. More or less just a slight west jog, but very similar to the earlier run.