cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sun Sep 10 2017 03:03 AM
Re: HURRICANE IRMA LOUNGE

Quote:

Isn't that somewhat expected? There is an effect which basically keeps the hurricane offshore when it is skirting the shore like that. Essentially the path of least resistance, hurricanes don't like land. I've seen this before, maybe Charlie?




Seems like that should be a myth, but then also a little intuitive, in that - if close enough to the coast, and steering currents aren't too strong, perhaps the center will keep leaping short distances into the area of deepest convection and lowest pressure that remains just offshore.

If anyone knows of solid peer-reviewed research on this (not of TCs jumping into deeper convection/lower pressure in general - that is well verified and explained - I'm talking of coastal 'runners,' only) I think some of us would love to read it



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