Obviously this close to land every wobble is meaningful, but watching the radar on the Southwest Florida Water Management District site this sucker is looking like it's traveling nearly due north right now, if not with a tiny wobble to the east. It looks to my novice and nervous mind that it's definitely to the right of the NHC track, at least.

It would be beyond ridiculous if this system pulled a Charley and headed toward the right, making the turn the models had said for so long, but not when they expected.

Going to be a long, long day/night.