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8pm NHC update has movement N @ 14, but they are still confident that she's going to hug the West coast with an increase in forward speed. If it does continue moving due North, it would bring the center well East of forecast running it up Auburndale/Winterhaven/Lake Wales area. Very well could be that they are expecting her to ride the mid/upper level vort in the Gulf. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located by NOAA Doppler radar near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 81.7 West. Irma is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h), and a north-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected by tonight, with that motion continuing through Monday. |