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Overnight 0z runs (looking for trends, not exact track) 0z ECMWF: landfall near Dominica late tomorrow night, stays just south of PR Wednesday, over the Eastern Part of the Dominican Republic Thursday, over the Turks and Caicos and Eastern Bahamas next Sunday and the following Monday, Cat 3. Cat 3 landfall near Wilmington, NC Late on Sep 26th. 0z GFS Guadalope landfall Tuesday morning, cat 1/2 hurricane, Virgin Islands Wednesday morning Cat 2/3. veers barely north of Puerto RIoc, over Turks and Caicos Friday midday, cate 3, then stays away from the US, but hits Newfoundland in Canada on Sep 28th. The model is struggling with Jose still around. |